Sensitivity Analysis for Safety Factor under Various Priors
Scenario/Prior Distributions | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
O0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
n0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.01 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5 |
U0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
n1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5 | 0.5 |
α | 0.001 | 0 | 1 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
β | 0.001 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
α1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0.001 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
β1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0.001 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
a | 0.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
b | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
SF(Mean) (×1010) | 22.57 | 22.57 | 22.57 | 22.58 | 22.70 | 23.12 | 23.17 | 20.42 | 16.05 | 18.51 |
SF(SD) (×1010) | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.29 | 1.38 | 2.19 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 3.06 | 10.17 | 2.34 |
Prob(SF ≥ SF0) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.9998 | 0.9996 |